Inside the Asylum

WarNovember 24, 2009 6:50 pm

Xinhua has an interesting article

Analysts speculate Israeli-Iranian war scenario in wake of Iran defense maneuver
It's based on the ideas of Francis Tusa, editor of London-based Defense Analysis and Barbara Opall-Rome, Israel bureau chief for Defense News. I'm not going to try to put in a few quotes, because I'd only misrepresent the overall picture. The article discusses both Iran and Israel's capabilities and possible options. Read the whole thing.
Tusa does not believe it is beyond the realms of possibility that Israel will attack Iran, especially if Israel feels its back is against the wall in the international arena. Israel fears that when Iranian leader Mahmoud Ahmadinejad speaks of wiping Israel off the world map he is not joking.
Can you blame them?

War, China 6:07 am

I hadn't heard anything about this until now. China and Pakistan have jointly developed a jet, the JF-17, described as an "advanced multi-role jet fighter." Photos at the link.

WarNovember 22, 2009 2:23 am

Yep, Chavez has defended Carlos the Jackal as a revolutionary fighter.

“I defend him. I don’t care what they say tomorrow in Europe.”
Well, what do you expect of Obama's buddy?

Politics, WarNovember 18, 2009 6:52 pm

Obama has declared that USA will be out of Afghanistan by the time he leaves office. That means they only have to hang on for another three years, and they can declare victory. (Even with my unbounded cynicism, I don't think the American people are quite dumb enough to elect this guy again.)

I'm not saying that I think USA necessarily should remain in Afghanistan that long, or indeed whether they even should still be there now. I think that's an open question, because no one seems to quite know why they're there. Without a definable goal, how can you move towards it, or know when it's accomplished? However, to come out and say something like this does nothing other than give heart to the enemy, and undermine the people USA supports. Even if that is his plan, he shouldn't have declared it. In fact, if you really are planning to pull out in such a short time, then you ramp up the rhetoric about long term commitment and deploy a lot more troops. Smart diplomacy... yeah, some of that would be nice.

Weird, WarNovember 14, 2009 6:16 am

Following one of the semi-regular naval clashes in the Yellow Sea (or West Sea, as the Koreans call it), North Korean KCNA issues the following statement, defying the South to say it in one breath:

The rash action perpetrated by them, firing thousands of bullets and shells with several warships involved at a time was a premeditated action of the rightwing conservative forces and bellicose military group of the south side to stem the trend of the situation on the Korean Peninsula which has shown a sign of detente through the third skirmish in the West Sea.

So there.

Speaking of which, I have an exercise for you. Go to Google Maps and do a search for Korea. You'll learn that it's just to the east of Daniel Boone National Forest in Kentucky. I kid you not, and south of Bangor, which last I heard was in Wales. It's to the west of Twentysix. There's a place called Twentysix? I guess I wasn't paying attention in geography class. It's probably another anti-North Korean capitalist plot. I wonder what the random North Korean insult generator has to say on the matter?

You politically illiterate political dwarf!
Yep, that about covers it.

Politics, WarNovember 9, 2009 6:37 am

Obama's "smart diplomacy" included reaching out to Venezuela's crackpot dictator Chavez. Well, in response to Colombia's decision to allow US bases in their territory, here is how Chavez has responded. First, he sent an additional 15,000 troops to the Colombian border, and now

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez urged the army and civilians on Sunday to prepare themselves for war. "We cannot waste one day to fulfill our mission: to prepare for war and help the people to get ready for war," Chavez said during his weekly TV-radio show.
Hmmmm... Chavez sends thousands of troops to the border of a neighboring country and tells his people to prepare for war. He arms rebel groups inside that neighbor with rocket launchers. When Obama tried to make friends with him, Chavez soon after declared, "this is a revolutionary offensive!" I wonder what he's planning? I've never been very good at interpreting subtle hints.
[Update] Faced with such threats, Colombia appeals to the United Nations. It's telling that they haven't appealed to the Americans. Chavez's bully-boy tactics and Colombia's soft-pedaling response are all predicated on a presumption of American weakness or at least a lack of desire to help an ally. Obama's probably rather proud of himself.

[Further Update] Somehow I think this is probably related.

Former Cuban President Fidel Castro has criticized U.S. President Barack Obama over a U.S. agreement with Colombia that allows American troops access to Colombian military bases. In a column published in Cuba's state-run Granma newspaper, Mr. Castro says allowing the United States to use Colombia's military bases threatens not only neighboring Venezuela, but all people in the region.
In other words, the real target of Chavez's war talk isn't Colombia at all ... it's Obama.

WarNovember 5, 2009 5:36 pm

Israel intercepted a ship in the Mediterranean carrying weapons and ammunition, and mysteriously, the cargo from Iran doesn't seem to belong to anyone. Israel says it was bound for Hezbollah, but they deny it. I guess Israel can now claim it as salvage.
[Update] In fact, it's even easier for Israel. Iran says the weapons on the ship don't exist, so I guess Israel can take them without having to claim anything, since the people who sent them deny they exist, and the people they were being sent to deny they own them. I guess it's just a cargo of ownerless non-existent weapons. Apparently there were 40 shipping containers. That's a lot of firepower to send on a Mediterranean cruise with no destination.

Weird, WarNovember 4, 2009 7:10 am

It's nice to have KCNA back. They didn't go away, so much, as just get remarkably tame and (astoundingly) even sometimes a bit conciliatory. Today, we got to see a bit of vintage North Korean weirdness. The North Koreans warned

The U.S. and its “allies” had better cogitate, mindful of the grave consequences to be entailed by their reckless military actions.
It's good to have old friends back, even if they are grumpy old friends stuck in the 1950s.

The U.S. is hell bent on reinforcing the military alliance with Japan and south Korea, labeling the DPRK "an unstable factor," but this is nothing but sophism to cover up the criminal nature of its Asia strategy for domination. The U.S. revealed its scenario to militarily stifle the DPRK by putting forward Japan and south Korea as its shock brigade.

Thank goodness. I was starting to worry that this sea of weirdness for my blog posts had stopped being funny.

War, ChinaNovember 2, 2009 5:57 pm

The Chinese believe that militarization of space would be a bad thing. The People's Liberation Army Air Force Commander Xu Qiliang says that it is "a threat to the mankind." So how does this influence China's position on militarization?

"Only power could protect peace... As the air force of a peace-loving country, we must forge our swords and shields in order to protect peace." [He pledged that] China will develop an air force with integrated capabilities for both offensive and defensive operations in space as well as in air.
Hmmm. Well, it's kind of interesting that he should make reference to swords and shields, as there is a Chinese expression "mao(2nd tone) dun (4th tone)" which literally translates and "spear and shield", but which actually means "contradictory." Is this a maodun? Perhaps, perhaps not. It certainly reminds me of Tacitus' "let those who wish for peace first prepare for war."

The reason "spear and shield" means "contradictory" is because of an ancient Chinese story. There was an arms merchant touting his wares in a market-place, and he loudly proclaimed that his spears were so sharp that they could penetrate any armor, and as he promoted his shields he declared that they were so strong they could withstand any weapon. This caused a local wit to ask, "so what would happen if I used one of your spears against one of your shields? Huh?"

The PLA Daily website doesn't allow you to link directly to a story. If you want to read the whole thing, follow the link and look for the story called "China's PLA eyes future in space, air: air force commander." It was posted on November 2nd.

Politics, History, WarOctober 26, 2009 5:17 am

The LA Times can't spend all its time covering for ACORN, so now it's doing what it can to cover for Obama's indecision on Afghanistan. In the Sunday edition, they ran (amongst other thing) a cartoon obviously meant to support a decision to not send extra troops, despite the fact that both the commander-in-chief ("listen to the generals!") and NATO allies ("don't be so unilateral!") think more troops are needed.

[Digression: The Europeans have known this all along, but (as usual) they were hoping to get out of actually doing anything about it, expecting the US to pick up the security bill ... but now that Obama is looking so weak at the knees they're trying to nudge Obama in the right direction by finally announcing they'll send extra troops.]

Anyway, the cartoon shows the skeletal remains of Alexander the Great, the British, the Russians, and finally a still living but unhappy Uncle Sam, caught in a spider's web that is Afghanistan. The British skeleton says to Uncle Sam, "more troops? Why didn't we think of that? Oh wait, we did." The message is clear. A shame the history doesn't align with the political message.

Let's take them one by one: Alexander the Great. A single campaign, which encountered many difficulties, nevertheless succeeded in planting Greek colonies in the region that would achieve independence and rule a successful kingdom in the region that lasted until about 125BC. The cartoon is wrong on two fronts: there was no issue of "extra troops" and the implied failure doesn't exist. The lesson of Alexander the Great is that you can go into the region and reshape it in your own image. Scratch one for the LA Times.

Then the British. Mostly, they didn't give a damn about Afghanistan, except to make sure the Russians couldn't use it to threaten their Indian Empire. Most British movements into the region were along the lines of "march in, kick heads, march out". I'm not exactly sure why the cartoonist thought it would be appropriate to have the words coming out of the mouth of the British skeleton. The times the British suffered real troubles in the region, it was mostly because of incompetent leadership. Again, this is a lesson Uncle Sam needs to learn, but the problem in this case doesn't seem to be with the generals and troops, but with the commander in chief in Washington. I'm reminded of the obituary of Brigadier Ted Hughes that appeared in the Daily Telegraph when he died aged 89, in 1987. He took part in the Third Afghan War, and wrote a memoir that was scathing of the British commanders. He wrote, "The Higher Command acted on the excellent principle that if you can't surprise the enemy it is better to surprise your own side than no one at all." Well, that certainly seems to describe the Obama Regime's approach to its own commanders (25 minutes on Air Force One for the general in command, with Obama doing most of the talking). After capturing Spin Baldak, the British forces improved its defenses and water supply, then marched off again leaving it back in the hands of their enemies. Again, that sure sounds like what Obama would like to do ... spend lots of time and effort to improve the infrastructure etc., so US troops can withdraw. As I said ... some good historical lessons, but not any that let Obama off the hook that justify not sending more troops.

Then the Russians. They were doing quite well until a certain power started arming the locals with things like stinger missiles. Without massive American assistance, the anti-Russian resistance would not have been nearly so successful. The Russian lesson is not that more troops won't solve the problem, but rather that you had better make sure that outside forces aren't providing massive aid for your enemies. A good lesson for the current situation, but not the one the cartoon seeks to make.

So even in a cartoon, the LA Times manages to continues its policy of being a) politically motivated b) factually incorrect and c) not worth the trouble of using it for more than scrap newsprint.

History, WarOctober 23, 2009 8:33 pm

It's 70 years since a major conflict was fought between Japan and USSR, yet many people, even WWII history buffs, don't even realize it occurred. Russian forces defeated the Japanese, turning Japan's attention to the south, in a move which would ultimately result in the Pearl Harbor attack. The failure of the Japanese airforce also sent the Japanese back to the drawing board to design new planes, resulting in the Zero which did so much damage in the Pacific War. The war also gave Marshall Zhukov, who played such an important role against the Nazis, a chance to gain combat experience, and above all prevented them from having to fight a two front war. Finally, it preserved Mongolian independence, something that endures today.

The following clip includes an interview with a veteran of the conflict.

Weird, War, ChinaOctober 19, 2009 9:15 pm

Chinese baozi gongfu fighter takes on Japanese sushi samurai. Hai-ya!

Super Baozi vs Sushi man from sun haipeng on Vimeo.

(via Mad Minerva)

[Update] There's more!

Super Baozi, being tired of being in Catering,is longing for developeing in Recreation. With intense enthusiasm and strong perseverance, he has learned to sing songs and to play nunchakus.


Dragon Fist from sun haipeng on Vimeo.

War 5:22 am

Well, the title of this post says it all. Drug gangs have brought down a police helicopter in Rio, killing two, plus other casualties were suffered on the ground. Anyone planning on going to the Rio Olympics? It ought to be interesting ...
(I wasn't sure what category to put this under, but "war" seems a reasonable choice.)

Weird, WarOctober 15, 2009 10:58 pm

It's a case of "huh?"

The Mongolia-Qatar joint military field exercises dubbed "Perfect decision" began near Ulan Bator on Tuesday... Professional instructors from Britain and the United States will conduct training and instructors from the General Headquarters of Mongolia's Armed Forces (GHMAF) will also give lessons during the exercises. Representatives from the U.S. and South Korea are attending the event as observers.
But why?

[See also my earlier post, Mongol Horde Rides Again]

War, Muslim WorldOctober 6, 2009 5:34 pm

This is my second post linking to Dar Al Hayat, a major Arab newspaper. I have to say, it contains stuff that I just never expected, from my last post in which an article argued that Obama was being too weak and encouraging extremists in the Middle East, to this:

I have another suggestion to increase the number of Arab readers, since we are one of the most smoking-prone nations in the world despite the health risks involved, and perhaps we are indeed prone to smoking, because of our stubbornness to acknowledge these risks. I therefore suggest that we print on the cover of each book “Reading may be detrimental to your health”, or “reading causes heart disease”, and because half of our women are constantly pregnant, perhaps we should also print “reading may pose health risks to pregnant women and foetuses”. This is because I am almost sure that any Arab who will read such a warning, will immediately take up reading the book with the same greed, gluttony, recklessness and idiocy with which he would take up smoking a full packet of cigarettes.

I don't think I'm even going to try to comment on it. I will say however that I really wish that more Americans would read. I am constantly shocked at the extremely limited vocabulary of many of my students. How do you improve vocabulary? You read. You read anything. Just read. As an example, I'd be prepared to lay down money on a bet that more than half of my freshman students wouldn't be able to accurately define the words "detrimental" and "gluttony" from the above quotation, and I wouldn't be confident that they'd know "acknowledge" "prone" or "pose".

Politics, WarOctober 3, 2009 9:53 pm

I would say that this says more about the type of people in the White House than the situation in Afghanistan:

Senior White House advisers are fighting the U.S. military's request for a significant boost to troops in Afghanistan, as President Barack Obama is weighing options on the eight-year Afghan war...

This is despite the fact that:
Stanley A. McChrystal, top U.S. commander in Afghanistan, has asked Obama to quickly endorse his call for a change in military strategy and approve the additional resources he needs to retake the initiative from the resurgent Taliban.
Well, it's good to know that Obama has his priorities straight. While on his failed attempt to get the Olympics for Chicago, he gave McChrystral 25 minutes on Air Force One to discuss the matter. I'd place a bet ... if given a pop quiz, Obama wouldn't be able to tell us General McChrystal's first name. Heck, I wonder if he even knows what McChrystal's voice sounds like. Here, for example, we have a picture of Obama carefully listening to his commanding officer in Afghanistan:

See what I mean?

[Update] Well, what do you know, I'm even ahead of Instapundit ... who just now posted a link to first, Democrats saying to Bush "we must listen to the generals!" from back in 2007, and then second, Democrats now saying "how dare the generals speak!" Well, as I said above, I don't think the generals are exactly speaking ... at least not in the presence of Obama who much prefers to hear the sound of his own voice.

War, ChinaSeptember 29, 2009 2:22 am

The Dong Feng 21 "East Wind 21" ballistic missile is designed to be a ship killer ... a carrier killer.

The Dong Feng 21. "It's a technological leap that's never [before] been made," says Schriver, now the head of a non-partisan research body, Project 2049 Institute, and a founding partner of the consulting firm Armitage International. "The Russians couldn't do it. If it works, it will have the range of a ballistic missile and the accuracy of a cruise missile."The Chinese would have the ability to hold our carriers at a great distance - it almost makes the aircraft carriers obsolete. "What did we do in 1996? We sent carriers. What are the Chinese doing? Taking the carriers out of the equation." He thinks it prudent to expect such missiles to be operating within a couple of years.

You can hardly blame the Chinese. They have a strategic goal: to take Taiwan. There are major obstacles to that goal, and they are working on solutions to those obstacles. It doesn't even mean they have to use them to actually attack US ships ... they just need the potential to sink US carriers, so as to take them off the game board. What's the next move? Well, considering that Obama is in charge, I think the next move by the US will be to apologize for having carriers, and to threaten China with a severe frowning. As a last resort, the Dear Leader will hold out the possibility of disapproval. Unless of course his trade union backers want him to take stronger action, in which case he'll probably nuke 'em 'till they glow.

War, EducationSeptember 21, 2009 5:24 am

It's been my experience that US soldiers are on average better informed, better educated, and have a generally better attitude than most other Americans. If given a choice, I would love to teach a class full of troopers. As with any other country, you get a mix of morons and excellent people, but it does seem that USA has greater extremes. Perhaps this is just a product of the large population... but I'm happy to assert that there's a greater probability of encountering the best types among those with military experience. The thing that inspired me to write this was the following profile of one of my regular readers who is currently in Iraq. Here it is:

Bi-Coloured-Python-Rock-Snake: Born in West Africa, I grew up in Wisconsin, studied Classics in Minnesota, traveled 'round the world, then ended up in the US Army
I don't know a lot about him, but from comments I know he's studied Arabic. If he's studied Classics, he likely can read classical Greek and Latin. The thing though, that really impresses me, is the word 'round in his little profile. How many of my students would be able to tell me why the apostrophe is there? Very few. How many would/could write a sentence in which they used an apostrophe in this way? None? An "A" student of mine (with combat experience in Iraq) has just been deployed to Afghanistan. He was studying Farsi in preparation, and wanted some suggestions for further reading. This is the kind of soldier USA is sending out into the world. If only the journalists who write snide things about them were as good.

Here's a link to the Snake's blog.