While the sun continues to puzzle us with its inactivity, it's worthwhile going back a few years to see what people were predicting for Solar Cycle 24. It's also a timely reminder than predictions of climatic changes are hopelessly unreliable, whether they're attempting to model the Earth or the Sun.
Nope.April 2007: "The next 11-year cycle of solar storms will most likely start next March [2008] and peak in late 2011 or mid-2012," said Doug Biesecker, a solar physicist from the NOAA Space Environment Center in Boulder, Colo., who also chaired the NASA-funded 12-person panel.
Jan 2006: The next sunspot minimum is forecast to occur in late 2006 through mid 2007.Nope.
October 2004: The next solar maximum might come early, too, says Hathaway. "Solar activity intensifies rapidly after solar minimum. In recent cycles, Solar Max has followed Solar Min by just 4 years." Do the math: 2006 + 4 years = 2010.That isn't going to happen.
I could go on, but you get the idea.
